基于层次分析法的特种设备风险评价体系研究

©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(,300072):(AHP),,,,,5,,:;;;:TQ050.7:A:1001-4837(2008)09-0028-06StudyofSpecialEquipmentsRiskEvaluationBasedonAHPYANGZhen-lin,LIUJin-lan(TianjinBureauofQuality&TechnicalSupervision,Tianjin300072,China)Abstract:Analytichierarchyprocess(AHP)possessessynchronouslythescientificalnessofqualitativea2nalysisandtheveracityofquantitativeanalysis.UtilizingAHPasaneffectivesystemsanalysismathemat2icstool,theriskevaluationsystemofspecialequipmenthasbeenstudiedsystemically.Theriskevalua2tionhierarchymodelandtheevaluatingmathematicsmodelshavebeenbuilt.Onthebaseoftheevalua2tingmethodandcombiningwiththeriskacceptablerule,therisksofspecialequipmentareclassedasfivegrades.Asbeneficialresearch,thestudyprovidespracticalcriterionanddirectionfortheclassifiedsupervisionandmanagementofspecialequipment.Keywords:specialequipment;analytichierarchy;riskevaluation;riskclassification1(),,,,,,,,,,82©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(AHP),,,,,,,,,,3,1,;,;,1,5,,,,,,,3,,,,R:92259190©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.=nj=1(1+5i=1Ki5)Sj1000nKi,i=1,2,3,4,5Sj,j=1,2,3,,nj,j=1,2,3,,nni,i=1,2,3,4,5,,,R,,,R,R,,,n,,R,R1(Hmax=957)R,1000(1000n),R,,,R0.1,R1,,:=,:=(1),1,,33,,3,10,3,(SCL),,,,(1)A1A5Z:A=a11a12a13a14a15a21a22a23a24a25a31a32a33a34a35a41a42a43a44a45a51a52a53a54a55aij,(57),19(1),,,T.L.Saaty,,19A=154411/511/21/21/31/42111/41/42111/41344103CPVTVol251No92008©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.=1/aij,B1B16A1,A2,A3,A4,A5:A1=1431/4121/31/21A2=111/31/2111/31/23312221/21A3=11/31/5311/3531A4=11/31/4311/3431A5=11/525161/21/61Aj1=(11,12,,1n)T=(0.374,0.073,0.105,0.105,0.343)Tj1A,A1,A2,A3,A4,A521-3,24-7,28-10,211-13,214-16:21-3=(0.620,0.224,0.156)T24-7=(0.141,0.141,0.455,0.263)T28-10=(0.106,0.260,0.634)T211-13=(0.120,0.272,0.608)T214-16=(0.174,0.723,0.103)T(2)A,Amax:max=n1(A1)jn1j=5.114(j=1,2,,5)CI(ConsistencyIndex):CI=max-nn-1=0.029,RI(RandomIndex)=1.12,CR(ConsistencyRatio):CR=CIRI=0.0260.1A,,A1,A2,A3,A4,A5,:CIA1=0.054,CRA1=0.0930.1CIA2=0.003,CRA2=0.00330.1CIA3=0.020,CRA3=0.0340.1CIA4=0.037,CRA4=0.0640.1CIA5=0.016,CRA5=0.0280.1A1,A2,A3,A4,A5,(3)ZAB3,AmA1,,Am,Za1,,amBnB1,,Bn,AAjb1j,,bnjBZ,Bb1,,bn,,,:bi=mj=1bijaj(i=1,,nj=1,,m)Bi:i=(0.232,0.084,0.058,0.010,0.010,0.033,0.019,0.011,0.027,0.067,0.013,0.029,0.064,0.060,0.248,0.035),A1,A2,A3,A4,A5,Z13259190©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.=mi=1CI(i)1imi=1RI(i)1i=0.0500.1(i=1,,5),,16,,,R,5,16,,Ii(0Ii1,i=1,2,,16),D:D=ni=1iIi(i=1,2,,16,0D1),D,3ALARP(AsLowAsReasona2blePracticable,),,,,,,,,,,,ALARP,,,5(2),,D0.2;0.2D0.4;0.4D0.6;0.6D0.8;D0.8ALARP,,D0.8,D0.2,D0.8,,D0.2,,,,D0.20.8,(ALARP),,,,2D5D0.8,,40.6D0.8,30.4D0.6,20.2D0.4,1D0.2,420,,1,17,2,,20,R:23CPVTVol251No92008©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.=nj=1(1+5i=1Ki5)Sj1000n=0.295,2056m/sH350,,R,R:R=0.295+0.15=0.795,,0513(SCL),,Ii:Ii=(0.795,0,0,0.3,0.2,0.45,0.3,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.1,0.6,0,0)IiiD:D=ni=1iIi=0.280.2D0.4,2,5(1),,(2),3,16i,Ii,,(3),,,5,,:[1],.[M].:,1990.[2].[J].,2000,4:585-590.[3],,.[J].,2004,1(4):1-4.[4],,.[M].:,2004.[5]DB12/3822008,[S].:2008-06-12:2008-08-05:(1963-),,,,,:2652009,()()-,,,,16,25:CN211312/TH,:ISSN10049614,:8145,:5.0/,:30.0:242,:110043,:[phone],:[phone],:[phone],88718458,E-mail:[e-mail],E-mail:[e-mail],: